Poland’s presidential election set for May 18

Polls suggest the election will be decided in a runoff vote between Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski, the candidate for Tusk’s Civic Platform, and historian Karol Nawrocki, who has been nominated as PiS’s candidate despite not being a member of the party.

Nawrocki is currently trailing behind on 26.2 percent, with Trzaskowski being predicted 35.7 percent, according to a December poll from the Institute for Market and Social Research.

At the last presidential election in 2015, Duda went from being a virtual nobody on the backbenches of the European Parliament to defeating incumbent Bronisław Komorowski, who ran as an independent with the support of the Civic Platform.